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Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Reserve Bank of Australia: Potential inflation is still too high. There is still uncertainty about the prospects. The Committee is increasingly convinced that inflationary pressure is decreasing with the recent forecast, but the risk still exists. The Committee will continue to rely on data and changing risk assessments to guide its decision-making. Although the potential inflation is still at a high level, other recent economic activity data are mixed, but overall, November data is weaker than expected.Tang Hui, former member of the Standing Committee of Anshun Municipal Committee of Guizhou Province, was "double-opened", and the website of the State Supervision Committee of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection was notified on December 10. According to the news of the Supervision Committee of Guizhou Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection, with the approval of Guizhou Provincial Committee, the Supervision Committee of Guizhou Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection filed a case review and investigation on Tang Hui, former member of the Standing Committee of Anshun Municipal Committee of Guizhou Province and former secretary of Xixiu District Committee.

Afternoon comments on Hong Kong stocks: Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00%, Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%, and Hong Kong stocks opened higher and fell back. By midday, Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00% and Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%. On the first day of listing, Mao Geping rose by 78.19%, and it rose by over 5%. Shang Tang fell more than 4%.Morgan Stanley published a research report that Jingdong Logistics management predicted that the net profit growth in FY 2024 would increase by 49% year-on-year, far exceeding the bank's expected 30% increase. As for the profit growth forecast for next year, it is 9% year-on-year. The bank also believes that the acquisition of Jingdong Logistics across the remaining rights and interests of Express is positive and is expected to have further synergy. Morgan Stanley set the target price of H shares of Jingdong Logistics at HK$ 13.1, giving it a rating of "keeping pace with the market".Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The change in wording of the central bank's monetary policy committee is intentional. Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The change in wording of the statement is intentional. The Committee noted that the data had weakened. Have more confidence in inflation. The Committee believes that the economic situation is basically in line with expectations. No need for two or more quarterly inflation data to change. Will pay attention to all data including employment.

Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The upward inflation risk under discussion has eased, but it has not disappeared. We need to see more progress in basic inflation.Malaysia exported 1.49 million tons of palm oil in November, down 15%.China Heihe-Russia Kanikurgan Highway Port Passenger Transport was officially opened. On December 10th, with the first passenger completing the exit formalities, China Heihe Highway Port-Russia Kanikurgan Highway Port Passenger Transport was officially opened. Passengers take buses from Heihe International Highway Passenger Station in China and Amoula Suo International Bus Station in Blagoveshchensk, Russia, respectively, and cross the Sino-Russian cross-border highway bridge, with four buses entering and leaving each country every day. After the official opening of passenger transportation at Heihe Highway Port, the functions of Sino-Russian highway ports have been further improved, providing a more convenient channel for cross-border communication. (CCTV News)